Telecommunications to decide government! (Shoe on the other foot)

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So, you’ve heard me bleating about governments interfering with the telecommunications industry once too often, right? Well, in what may a world first, that very same industry may be instrumental in bringing down a government!

You will be forgiven for perhaps not knowing that Australia recently held a national election and that the result, almost two weeks later, is still unknown. The election resulted in a ‘hung’ parliament with neither the ruling Labor Party, headed by Australia’s first female Prime Minister and the Liberal/National Party Coalition, headed up by a brash cycling and fitness fanatic most often photographed in Speedo swimming attire, popularly known as ‘budgie smugglers’ down under. I digress (and no pun intended).

In a nutshell, the Labor Party proposed, legislated and began the rollout of a very ambitious National Broadband Network that would reach 93 per cent of the population and cost a whopping AU$43 billion (US$38.6 billion). In the process, leading quad player and ex-PTT, Telstra would be structurally separated with the NBN Company buying a fair swag of its existing fixed line network. The opposition party, sensing some electoral concern over the cost of the NBN boldly stated that if it came to power it would dump the whole thing!

As the election drew close the Opposition realized that this may not have been a good idea so it came out with its own plan to rollout relatively high-speed internet access to the masses via fixed line, mobile and satellite, using mainly existing infrastructure - at a much lower cost of around AU$6.35 billion and with much lower speeds.

The electorate, probably not too savvy about the speed differences for their internet access, if they even knew what it was, seemed to like the idea of government spending less money and that may have won the Opposition a lot of new votes. But the story doesn’t end there.

The fate of both parties lies in the hands of four successful Independent candidates, three of which are from rural areas that constantly bemoan being under-serviced by telecommunications. One of their main decision factors will certainly be to favor the NBN plan they think best suits their electorates and they have asked both sides to substantiate and support their arguments in this area. Early indications are that they favor the Labor Government plan. But wait, there’s more!

Just to add some spice to the mix a newly formed grouping of smaller CSPs threw fuel on the fire by proposing a new broadband plan that appears more aligned with the Coalition's policy than Labor's national broadband network.

The Sydney Morning Herald newspaper reported that The Alliance for Affordable Broadband - comprising telcos including Allegro Networks, PIPE Networks, BigAir, Vocus Communications, AAPT, Polyfone and EFTEL - proposes government-subsidized fibre backhaul but recommends connecting the country with a fourth-generation (4G) national wireless broadband network. Whereas Labor's government-funded plan will connect 93 per cent of homes with fibre-optic cables, the alternative plan, similar to the Coalition's, will connect homes via a new wireless broadband network. The 4G network would connect 98 per cent of Australians and offer speeds of up to 100Mbps.

Yikes, that was a blow across the bow! Whatever the independents decide, after all that, will determine who wins government. This is one case where ‘the shoe is, well and truly, on the other foot.’ I’m hoping whoever does win, and governments elsewhere, will have a new found respect for our industry.

Posted 09-01-2010 12:25 AM by The Insider
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Comments

Andrew Larmour wrote re: Telecommunications to decide government! (Shoe on the other foot)
on 09-02-2010 1:16 AM

As an Australian  IT professional in the Communications sector (and currently working on a bid for the OSS/BSS part of the NBN project - which is in doubt should Labor loose power) I think that you have over simplified the issues at hand during our recent election.  Other major factors such as the Mining super-tax, the dumping of a sitting Prime Minister (Kevin Rudd), local state government backlash (in New South Wales and Queensland), Industrial Relations laws and other issues were all important issues at hand.  In my opinion, the NBN was at best a minor thought in the minds of most voters.

I suspect that whoever gets in, we will end up with somewhere in-between the Labour FTTP and the Liberal/National coalition Fibre backbone and a mixture of technology for the last mile (or last 50 mile!) connections.

Certainly, telecommunications infrastructure is high importance for the three rural NSW independents and much of that priority has come from the transition from Telstra's old CDMA network to the new NextG network where Telstra promised that they would not turn off the old network until the new one exceeded the coverage of the old one.  What actually happened in some rural settings was that areas that were covered under CDMA were not covered under the NextG network even though Telstra claimed a greater percentage of the population was covered.  Telstra were probably right, they did cover more of the population, but there were still some areas in rural Australia where the coverage didn't map to the same geographical areas.  This issue had a lot of media coverage and caused a lot of heat for local members of parliament in the effected electorates.

I am sure the three independent members all vividly recall this situation and have therefore put telecommunications policy forward as one of their priorities. It is, however not the only thing that is on their minds.  For them, issues such as unemployment, small business support, tax breaks for farmers, mining taxes and other issues are all issues that I am sure they are discussing with both sides of parliament.  

The Insider wrote re: Telecommunications to decide government! (Shoe on the other foot)
on 09-02-2010 4:45 AM

Andrew, thanks for clarifying the situation with regard to the independents. I was careful to point out that NBN was 'one of their main decision factors' and certainly not the only one, although some press outlets were playing that card rather heavily at the time.

It now appears that the Coalition's faulty budget calculations have taken center stage and that Tasmanian independent, Andrew Wilkie, has since joined ranks with Labor. Considering that his state is the first to rollout the NBN and it has elevated the island state from a primitive communications backwater to one of the world's premium internet access locations, it may have been political suicide to do otherwise.

The Insider wrote re: Telecommunications to decide government! (Shoe on the other foot)
on 09-07-2010 6:08 AM

The die is cast as the Sydney Morning Herald reports:

Labor's national broadband network was one of the "main influences" for Tony Windsor's backing of the Labor Party, the independent MP said today.

"The issues that I thought were critical to this, and possible the most critical, was broadband," Windsor said at a packed media conference in Canberra.

"There’s an enormous opportunity for regional Australians to engage with the infrastructure of this century and to pass up that opportunity and miss the opportunity for millions of country Australians, I thought, was too good an opportunity to miss."

Windsor said his advisers on broadband, of which he said he had "a number of", suggested that, on broadband, "you do it once, you do it right and you do it with fibre".

"And that has been one of the major influences I’ve had in terms of making a decision," Windsor said.

I rest my case.

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