Where will the next tranche of telecoms revenue come from. The conventional wisdom is that we will continue to grow and grow the available fixed and mobile bandwidth, and we will then monetize this through the delivery of multimedia entertainment services (High Definition Video and Music and Games). I just don't buy this vision of the future. For better or for worse, the world has grown to believe that on-line video and music (and possibly games) should be free. There are so many 'free' multimedia downloading sites on the internet, that the concept of the general public suddenly agreeing to pay for these in any significant numbers is hard to believe.
So where will the money come from?
Advertising is one of the mechanisms that I personally believe in, and I have talked about this a number of times in my blog. This has great potential, but will be a savage battleground and not an untapped source of long-term wealth for the telcos. Other areas that I'm beginning to believe are the real gold mines are areas like Healthcare; Automotive, Home Management; Personal and Home Security, State Security. Each of these are things that people are already happy to pay for, have already budgeted for and are eminently suited to tele-applications. Remote monitoring of pace-makers and diabetes sufferers are two obvious candidates in health; constant remote monitoring of car engine performance; remote management of the home environment and home security and personal security; remote monitoring of convicted offenders. All of these are areas that may well be the future of the next generation telco.
Keep an eye out for a convergence where the major telco suppliers start acquiring innovative suppliers to the industries mentioned above!
Posted
03-15-2010 3:11 AM
by
Martin Creaner